The Super Tuesday thread!

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4 responses to “The Super Tuesday thread!”

1. 

   jon

   February 5, 2008

   There’s a Facebook thread following the rate at which people are becoming “supporters” of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Of course, not everybody there is eligible to vote today (high school students, people living in states that aren’t voting, people who are citizens of other countries), and some of the people are fans of other politicians joining to be annoying. Still, the numbers are pretty stark:

   Current totals:
   Barack Obama: 376,354
   Hillary Clinton: 91,246

   New members in the last 21 hours:
   Barack Obama: 14,091
   Hillary Clinton: 2,246

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2. 

   jon

   February 5, 2008

   At 7:15ish I started getting weird behavior in the Facebook group … and by 7:25, I’m getting a “discussion unavailable” message.

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3. 

   jon

   February 5, 2008

   A few links I cut out of the main post in the interests of space:

   • Early exit polls — take ’em with a grain of salt — on TPM and MyDD
   • Threads on MyDD (nice chart), TPM Election Central, Kos open thread, Democratic Strategist, about the Black Women’s Roundtable on Jack and Jill Politics,
   • Bizarrely-mixed final polls in California (Zogby showing Obama +13, Survey USA showing Clinton +10): DailyKos, TPM 1, TPM 2, good discussion by Jerome Armstrong on MyDD (although I think he misanalyzes the Latino vote, he flags that SUSA may underestimates Obama’s lead in 18-34)
   • Pre-election Roundups in the NY Times,

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4. 

   jon

   February 5, 2008

   In a thread on The Nation’s excellent Campaign Matters, John Nichols originally talked about how Clinton had won the battleground states. I objected in a comment:

   > The Illinois senator won big in Georgia and Illinois. He’s also won Alabama, Minnesota, Connecticut, Colorado, Delaware, Utah, Kansas, North Dakota and Idaho.

   I really don’t understand this. Obama was trailing in the latest Alabama polls, and racked up a major victory. Obama was trailing in Connecticut, and won. He was up only two points in the latest Colorado poll, which certainly seems like a battleground. The last poll result I saw for Minnesota had Clinton ahead…

   How can you say he didn’t win battleground states?

   I’m not sure if it was my comment or something else (realizing that MSNBC, AP and others had gotten Missouri wrong), but when I checked again, the story had been substantially edited. It now says “Obama did not win so many of the batteground states. But his was still a remarkable list of victories.”

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