{"id":1228,"date":"2020-02-10T20:21:01","date_gmt":"2020-02-10T20:21:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/achangeiscoming.net\/?p=1228"},"modified":"2020-02-10T20:21:01","modified_gmt":"2020-02-10T20:21:01","slug":"draft-elizabeth-warrens-path-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/2020\/02\/10\/draft-elizabeth-warrens-path-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Elizabeth Warren\u2019s plan for victory"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ff00ff;\">DRAFT!\u00a0 FEEDBACK WELCOME!<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff00ff;\">Please do not forward!<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/hashtag-resist\/elizabeth-warrens-plan-for-victory-bc9ecab3e66d\">See the updated version on Medium<\/a><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1234\" src=\"http:\/\/achangeiscoming.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2020\/02\/winning-unwinnable-fights-1024x574.png\" alt=\"Elizabeth Warren: I've been winning uwinnable fights all my life\" width=\"1024\" height=\"574\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s still very early days in the Democratic primary season, with only a handful of delegates selected, but there\u2019s already a narrative emerging in mainstream coverage.\u00a0 Pete and Bernie are buoyed by their good results in Iowa and duelling it out in New Hampshire.\u00a0 Joe took a gut punch but is trying to fight back and avoid another humiliating fourth-place finish. \u00a0 And if nobody runs away in New Hampshire, that opens up more of an opportunity for Mike and his unlimited budget.<\/p>\n<p>But while the punditry is currently focusing on who will win in the next contest in a small\u00a0 mostly-white state &#8230; they&#8217;re missing the real story.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">George Stephanopoulos: No one has ever gotten the nomination if they don\u2019t crack the top two in Iowa or New Hampshire.<\/p>\n<p>Elizabeth Warren: Look, the way I see this is it\u2019s going to be a long campaign \u2026 we\u2019ve built a campaign to go the distance.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 ABC&#8217;s This Week <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ThisWeekABC\/status\/1226516986492018689?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Elizabeth&#8217;s Warren plan for how to win the nomination is to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2020\/01\/09\/elizabeth-warren-2020-closing-argument-097023\"> position herself as the candidate who can appeal to the different factions within a divided party<\/a>.\u00a0 And her strategy&#8217;s working:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Iowa&#8217;s results (Biden&#8217;s fourth-place finish, Sanders down almost 50% from his 2016 numbers), combined with the Sanders&#8217; campaigns ongoing attacks on other candidates and supporters, mean that it&#8217;s unlikely that anybody will get a majority of pledged delegates\u00a0 &#8212; so we&#8217;re on a path to a contested convention<\/li>\n<li>Warren is the only candidate in the race who backs key progressive policies but hasn\u2019t declared all-out war on the party apparatus and the moderates and centrists &#8212; and her campaign and supporters have generally stayed away from nasty attacks on other candidates or their supporters<\/li>\n<li>So at the convention, delegates may well wind up having to choose between alienating moderates by picking Sanders, alienating progressives by picking Bloomberg or another moderate &#8230; or choosing Warren.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Of course, it&#8217;s far from a sure thing. \u00a0 The Sanders campaign has a lot of great organizers (and youth support is also overlooked by pundits), so it&#8217;s certainly possible that their momentum will continue to build enough to wrap things up before the convention.\u00a0 The impact of Bloomberg&#8217;s unprecedented spending is very hard to predict.\u00a0 And the media&#8217;s bias against women candidates, and the big advantage so many of the guys have in fundraising, are certainly additional challenges for Warren.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, she&#8217;s persisting.\u00a0 And she&#8217;s also got a lot of advantages that aren&#8217;t getting as much attention as they should:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>As other candidates drop out, Warren&#8217;s likely to continue to attract more top-tier staffers (like Maya Rupert and Natalie Montelongo, who recently joined from the Castro campaigh) and volunteers.<\/li>\n<li>The intersectional grassroots organizing her campaign is doing with groups like Black Womxn For and AAPIs for Warren &#8211; and her strong support in the disability community &#8211; are big strengths going forward.<\/li>\n<li>Her supporters may not be as raucus as Bernie&#8217;s, but we&#8217;re just as motivated and passionate.\u00a0\u00a0 It&#8217;s true online as well; on Twitter and Facebook, Warren supporters (and now the Castro supporters joining up) are working together effectively in ways that leverage their strengths and networks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So it&#8217;ll be interesting\u00a0 to see how things play out. \u00a0 We&#8217;ll start to know a lot more after Super Tuesday but the convention&#8217;s a loooong way away.\u00a0 Still, Warren&#8217;s plan is clear\u00a0 &#8230; and things certainly seem to be going in the direction she&#8217;s hoping for.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span class=\"css-901oao css-16my406 r-1qd0xha r-ad9z0x r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0\">Everyone thinks they know what fights are unwinnable, until we get in the fight, persist\u2014and win. That\u2019s what I\u2019m going to do.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#8212; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewarren\/status\/1226615301711835136\">Elizabeth Warren<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Image credit: From ABC&#8217;s This Week, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewarren\/status\/1226615301711835136\">via Elizabeth Warren on Twitter<\/a>.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tHer strategy is working.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-personal"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1228\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2024.thenexus.today\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}